编者按：7月25日，中国人民大学重阳金融研究院执行院长王文受邀线上参加由中国中央广播电视总台主办的“中国新时代深化改革的世界机遇”全球对话会印度专场。中宣部副部长、中央广播电视总台台长慎海雄作视频致辞。中国驻加尔各答总领事徐伟、印度国际大学中国学院院长阿维杰特·班纳吉、印度工商联合会执行董事阿都尔·达拉果地、印度共产党（马克思主义）西孟加拉邦委员会书记穆罕默德·萨利姆、德里大学新闻系教授桑杰·辛格·巴凯参加本次会议。王文呼吁中印两国加强交流，尽快推进两国的投资合作、人员往来，共创中印领衔的“亚洲世纪”。2024年7月25日，中央广播电视总台Facebook报道会议相关内容、国际在线印度语频道刊发王文演讲内容，现将视频及文字发布如下：

▲2024年7月25日，中央广播电视总台Facebook报道会议相关内容、国际在线印度语频道刊发王文演讲内容

感谢给我这个发言机会，来分享关于中国机遇的看法。事实上，我更喜欢亚洲机遇，或者东方机遇的说法。因为中国在发展，印度也在发展，东南亚也在发展，整个世界进入了亚洲时代。

在过去10年，中国与印度是经济增长最快的主要经济体。2030年，印度将成为世界第三大经济体。2035年，中国很有可能超过美国成为第一大经济体。如果按照购买力平价算，中国和印度现在已经是世界上最大的两个经济体了。

但很可惜，中国与印度现在的关系还有很大的潜力。我们期待两国能够坐下来，好好商量一下未来中印应该如何重塑这个世界。

▲点击查看视频

我希望与印度的朋友分享以下三点内容：

第一，中国发展是世界的机遇，也是印度的机遇。目前，中国是印度的第一大贸易伙伴。去年印度商品进口总额达到约6700亿美元，来自中国的进口额约1000亿美元，中国商品占印度的15%，包括电子、电信和电气、机械、化学品和医药、钢铁和金属产品、塑料、纺织品和服装、汽车、医疗、纸张、玻璃、船舶等多个领域，为印度普通民众的生活节省了大量成本。

第二，中国未来仍会继续发展，不会因为西方一些“中国见顶论”而停止。正如我刚才说的，未来10年，中国至少还能保持平均4.5-5%的增长率。我们相信，美国无法遏制中国崛起。2035年，中国将超过美国成为第一大经济体。中国崛起的过程，也会伴随着印度的崛起。

第三，投资中国将是世界资本最大乐土。过去20年，中国一直保持着吸引外资最大的前三大经济体之一。2020年，中国超过美国，成为第一大外资目的地国。2021年，中国超过美国成为第一大对外投资国。但是印度来中国投资的企业太少了。现在，中国在印度投资也在减少。两国需要进一步加强投资合作。

现在，二十届三中全会刚结束，将会推出300多项改革措施，确立2029年改革目标。中国下一步改革的一个重要目标就是完善营商环境。相信未来5年，中国还会有新的发展成果。

所以，最后我的结论就是，中印两国的精英要多交流，促进中印关系的缓和与提升，推动两国的投资合作、人员往来，共创中印领衔的亚洲世纪。

▲对话现场

以下为英文版演讲内容：

Thank you for giving me this opportunity to speak and share my views on opportunities in China.

In fact, I prefer the term 'Asian opportunity' or 'Eastern opportunity'. Because China is developing rapidly, India is also developing rapidly, Southeast Asia is also developing rapidly, and the whole world has entered the Asian era.

In the past decade, China and India have been the fastest-growing major economies. By 2030, India will become the world's third-largest economy. By 2035, China is likely to surpass the United States to become the largest economy. If calculated based on purchasing power parity, China and India are now the world's largest economies.

Unfortunately, there is still great potential in the current relationship between China and India now. We look forward to the two countries sitting down and discussing how China and India should reshape the world in the future.

I would like to say three points to my friends in India:

Firstly, China's development is an opportunity for the world and also for India. Currently, China is India's largest trading partner. Last year, the total import value of goods in India reached about 670 billion US dollars, with imports from China accounting for about 100 billion US dollars. Chinese goods accounted for 15% of India's total, including electronics, telecommunications and machinery, chemicals, steel and base metal products, plastics, and clothing, automobiles, healthcare, paper, glass, ships and other fields, saving a lot of costs for the lives of ordinary Indian.

Secondly, China will continue to develop in the future and will not stop due to some Western 'Peak China theories'. As I just said, in the next 10 years, China can at least maintain an average growth rate of 4.5-5%. We believe that the United States cannot contain China's rise. By 2035, China will surpass the United States to become the largest economy. The rise of China will also be accompanied by the rise of India.

Thirdly, investing in China will be the world's largest paradise for capital. Over the past 20 years, China has consistently maintained one of the top three economies in attracting foreign investment. In 2020, China surpassed the United States to become the largest destination for foreign investment. In 2021, China surpassed the United States to become the largest outward investor.

But there are too few Indian companies investing in China. Now, China's investment in India is also decreasing. The two countries need to further strengthen investment cooperation.

Now, the Third Plenum of the 20th Central Committee has just ended, and more than 300 reform measures will be introduced to establish the reform goals for 2029. One important goal of China's next reform is to improve the business environment. I believe that in the next five years, China will have new achievements in development.

So, my final conclusion is that the elites of China and India should have more exchanges to promote the easing and improvement of China-India relations, promote investment cooperation and personnel exchanges between the two countries, and jointly create an Asian century led by China and India.

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