编者按：美俄两国元首5月接连访华，释放了何种信号？5月20日，中国人民大学重阳金融研究院院长、全球领导力学院院长王文接受英国广播公司（BBC）专访时指出，中美俄正以更具战略远见的方式改写大国互动范式，重塑全球政治格局。同日，王文还在瓦尔代俱乐部官网发表英、俄双语文章，讲述中美俄三边关系范式变革。现将相关专访内容中、英文整理发布如下：

Editor's Note: What signals did the consecutive visits by the leaders of the United States and Russia to China in May send? On May 20, Wang Wen, Dean of the Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies at Renmin University of China and Dean of the School of Global Leadership, told BBC in an exclusive interview that China, the United States, and Russia are reshaping the paradigm of great-power interactions and redefining the global political landscape with greater strategic vision. On the same day, Wang Wen also published a bilingual article in English and Russian on the Valdai Club website, discussing the transformation of the trilateral relationship framework among China, the United States, and Russia. The following is the compiled Chinese and English version of the relevant interview content:

01 BBC专访：中美俄三国新型互动释放一显著信号

▲点击查看视频

主持人：欢迎回到北京直播间，我们继续关注普京总统与习近平主席的会晤，这场会晤预计在一小时后开始。接下来，让我们听听王文的看法，他是中国人民大学重阳金融研究院院长。王文，感谢再次做客节目。习近平主席将中俄关系形容为“牢不可破”，为什么这一关系对中国如此重要？

王文：是的，我认为对中国而言，中俄关系至关重要。这是我们首要的双边关系，我认为有三个原因。

第一个原因是，众所周知，我们拥有互补的贸易关系。我们需要俄罗斯的能源，而俄罗斯需要我们的市场。

第二个原因，我认为更重要的是，在25年前，我不知道你是否知道，我们签署了一项非常重要的条约，《中俄睦邻友好合作条约》。我们希望推动两国之间恒久的友谊，让这份友谊长存。我们希望推动中俄关系成为大国关系典范。

而更重要的是，这体现在领导人的关系上。当然，正如你刚才提到的，在过去的10年里，中国国家主席习近平和俄罗斯总统普京举行了40次会晤，两国元首每年会面三到四次，每次会晤持续数小时。试想一下，你有多少朋友每年能见三到四次面，并且每次进行数小时的深入交谈？如果有，他们无疑是你最好的朋友。因此，我认为两国领导人之间的友谊非常深厚，而两位元首的友谊也推动了两国双边关系的发展。

主持人：中俄两国以及两国领导人之间的密切关系已经非常明显。上周我们交谈时，特朗普总统正在北京，这对即将讨论的内容有何影响？

王文：这是一个非常重要的信号。那就是，特朗普访华四天后，普京也访问了中国。这可以被视为中美俄三国之间新型互动的一个非常重要且显著的信号。事实上，我不知道你是否记得，今年2月4日，也就是中国农历立春那天，习近平主席与普京总统举行了视频会议，并在同一天与特朗普总统通了电话。这是对三大国即将开展互动所做出的一项精心部署，而接下来的互动需要密切关注。

今年秋季，习近平主席将对美国进行国事访问；11月，中国将在深圳举办APEC峰会，届时普京总统和特朗普总统都会首先出席。届时，三国领导人举行会晤的可能性很大。更重要的是，随后G20峰会将在美国举行，而美国已向普京总统发出邀请，俄罗斯总统将在时隔五年后再次出席G20峰会。届时，我们或许可以期待三国领导人再次同台会晤。因此我的结论是，中美俄这三个全球最重要的强国，正以更具战略远见的方式改写大国互动范式，重塑全球政治格局。

02 外媒发文：中美俄良性互动是世界和平发展的最大保障

▲报道截图如上

中美进入战略稳定期，中美俄也将是

王文

特朗普时隔九年访华，与中国国家主席习近平会面，是一次标志性、历史性的会面。其中最大的成果就是两国要构建“建设性战略稳定关系”，这个关系的内涵是合作为主、竞争有序、分歧可控和和平可期。这个新定位推动中美关系不再恶化，使其稳定并有可能会逐渐回暖。这是相当不容易的。

2018年以来，美国把中国定位为“最大的战略竞争对手”，对中国发动了贸易战、科技战，甚至新冷战，中美两国关系不断恶化，甚至有可能在一些领域失控。如果中美两国发生战争，那无疑是世界的灾难。所以，过去9年，中国一直致力于“止跌企稳”的努力，一方面用斗争方式，让美国看到中国反制的力量；另一方面，用最大的耐力与毅力去重新塑造中美关系。

现在，中美未来建设战略稳定关系，意味着两国更多机制化的高层对话，还对世界发出大国稳定与合作的信号。尽管在我看来，中美两国还会有许多结构性的矛盾，并存着许多竞争关系，但这些紧张关系不会失控。

更重要的是，中美稳定是世界的公共产品。中美两国稳定关系，会使其他国家免受“选边战”的两难，也会使合作重新回归国际社会的主旋律，这对世界来说，都是最大的利好。

当然，不排除特朗普反复无常的个性，未来一段时间，中美两国关系还会紧张。但是，中国已拥有充足的应对经验。

在未来，中美之间最敏感、最具风险的议题仍是台湾问题。在访问以后，特朗普接受媒体采访时表态，“‌我不希望看到有人（台湾）试图走向‘独立‌’”，并称“我们得飞9500英里去打一场战争，这不是我想要的”。这一表态被广泛解读为美国在台海问题上采取更谨慎、务实立场的信号。

中国大陆在台湾问题上的立场一直没有变，那就是台湾问题是中国的核心利益中的核心。中国一直警告美国要小心警惕台湾问题。此次特朗普访华，或许是为换取中美经贸合作、稳定双边关系，美方选择在台湾问题上收缩干涉力度，认可中方核心利益，这也是此次中美元首会晤达成的重要关键共识。

排除美国有可能“支持台独”的干扰因素，中国就更有信心能够最终实现国家统一。在这个进程中，中国会持续防范台独和分裂主义势力。一旦“台独”，就意味着军事战争方式进行统一。但另一方面，中国保持着最大的耐心去推动和平统一。中国也曾表态，希望美国能够支持中国的和平统一。

除了台湾问题，中美在此次特朗普访问后，还宣布成立贸易理事会、投资理事会，以互利共赢的态度去解决经贸问题。此外，还有中美两国元首在礼仪上、交谈中的各种友好姿态，可以确信的是，中美两国关系真的在努力进入到一个新阶段。

在特朗普访问中国后的五天，俄罗斯总统普京访问北京。这可以视为在中美重回稳定关系之后、中美俄新互动的又一个重大信号。

事实上，2026年2月4日，也是中国农历立春之日，中国国家主席习近平先后同俄罗斯总统普京举行视频会晤、同美国总统特朗普通电话。这已经是为接下来的三个大国新互动精心布局了。

接下来的互动，我们需要高度关注。2026年秋季，中国国家主席习近平将对美国进行国事访问。11月，中国将在深圳举办APEC峰会，普京总统、特朗普总统将同时来深圳，届时，很有可能会出现中美俄三元首的会议。

接着，在美国佛罗里达州会举办G20峰会。美国已向普京总统发出邀请，俄罗斯总统将会时隔五年后再次出席G20峰会。届时，或许可以期待中美俄三位元首再次同台会晤。

从中国2月农历立春中国国家主席与俄、美两国总统同日通话，再到5月美国、俄罗斯总统同月访问北京，接着到APEC峰会、G20峰会上极有可能两次中、美、俄三国元首会晤。

中国、美国、俄罗斯，这三个全球最重要的大国，正在以极高的战略远见，重新书写大国互动的新范式，也在重新塑造着全球政治格局。

对中国而言，对俄罗斯的关系深化，是基于相互尊重的战略协作；对美国的关系稳定，则是坚持平等对话、管控分歧。中俄之间“志同道合”，中美之间“求同存异”，中国的目标始终如一，推动构建新型国际关系。这正是中国的远大抱负。

中国希望，国际竞争能够远离寒冬。在中国的哲学观中，大国之间，从来不是非黑即白的对抗，而是可以通过加强沟通、化解误解，更可以通过合作、实现共赢。

过去四十年，世界上没有任何一个主要经济体像中国这样从未参与、发动与卷入任何一场军事冲突。对中国而言，无论是国内的高质量发展，还是深度参与全球治理，都需要一个稳定的、以合作为主的国际环境。现在，中美的稳定关系正在构建中，中俄的稳定关系牢不可破，在这个基础上，如果中美俄三大国继续良性互动，那么，一定将是世界和平与发展的最大保障。

英文原文：

China and the US Pursuing Strategic Stability, as in US-China-Russia Relations

Wang Wen

China, the US, and Russia—the three most important global powers—are altering the paradigm of major power interaction with remarkable strategic foresight, and are reshaping the global political landscape, Wang Wen writes. 

Trump’s visit to China after nine years to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14, 2026 was a historic landmark event. The biggest achievement was the establishment of a “constructive strategic and stable relationship,” characterised by cooperation as its primary focus, orderly competition, controllable differences, and the promise of a peaceful future. 

This new positioning has helped to prevent the further deterioration of US-China relations, stabilising them and potentially allowing for a gradual warming. This is no easy feat. 

Since 2018, the US has positioned China as its “greatest strategic competitor,” launching trade wars, technology wars, and even a new Cold War against Beijing. US-China relations have continuously deteriorated, even potentially spiralling out of control in some respects. A war between the two countries would undoubtedly be a global catastrophe. Therefore, for the past nine years, China has been committed to “stabilising the situation”: demonstrating its counter-measures to the US through confrontation while simultaneously reshaping US-China relations with the utmost patience and perseverance. 

Now, the future establishment of a strategic and stable relationship between the US and China signifies more institutionalised high-level dialogues and sends a signal of stability and cooperation among the major powers of the world. 

While I believe that many structural contradictions and competitive relationships will still persist between China and the United States, these tensions will not spiral out of control. 

More importantly, China-US stability is a global public good. A stable relationship between the two countries will spare other countries the dilemma of choosing sides and will allow cooperation to return to the mainstream of the international community—both of which are highly beneficial to the world. 

Of course, given Trump’s volatile personality, tensions between the two countries may remain for some time. However, China has ample experience in dealing with such situations. 

Going forward, the most sensitive and risky issue between China and the US will remain Taiwan. Following his visit, Trump stated in a media interview, “I don’t want to see anyone (Taiwan) trying to go towards independence,” and added, “we have to fly 9,500 miles to fight a war, and that’s not what I want.” This statement has been widely interpreted as a signal that the US is adopting a more cautious and pragmatic stance on the Taiwan issue. 

China’s position on the Taiwan issue has remained unchanged: it is at the core of China’s interests. China has consistently warned the US to be cautious and vigilant regarding Taiwan. Trump’s visit to China may have been aimed at securing China-US economic and trade cooperation and stabilising bilateral relations. The US chose to reduce its interference with regards to Taiwan and acknowledge China’s core interests, a key consensus reached at the meeting between the two leaders. 

With the possibility of US support for Taiwanese independence eliminated, China has become more confident that it will ultimately achieve national reunification. In this process, China will continue to guard against Taiwan’s independence and separatist forces. 

Taiwanese independence would lead to reunification through military force. However, China maintains maximum patience in promoting peaceful reunification. Beijing has also stated its hope that the US will support its peaceful reunification. 

Besides the Taiwan issue, following Trump’s visit, China and the US announced the establishment of a trade council and an investment council to resolve economic and trade issues with a mutually beneficial approach. Furthermore, the friendly gestures between the two leaders in their protocol and conversations confirm that China and the US are indeed striving to ensure that their relationship moves on to a new phase. 

Five days after Trump’s visit, Russian President Putin visited Beijing. This can be seen as another significant stability signal of new interactions among China, the US and Russia, after China-US relations returned to strategic stability. 

In fact, on February 4, 2026, also known as the first day of the Chinese Lunar Spring (Lichun), Chinese President Xi Jinping held a video conference with Russian President Vladimir Putin and a phone call with US President Donald Trump. This was already a carefully planned arrangement for the upcoming interactions between the three major powers. 

The following interactions deserve close attention. In September 2026, Chinese President Xi Jinping will pay a state visit to the United States. In November 2026, China will host the APEC summit in Shenzhen, where President Putin and President Trump will both be present. A meeting among the three leaders is highly likely. 

Following this, the G20 summit will be held in Florida, USA. The US has extended an invitation to President Putin, and the Russian president will attend the G20 summit for the first time in five years. A second meeting between the three leaders may be expected. 

From the simultaneous phone calls between the Chinese president and the presidents of Russia and the US on the same day (February 4), to the simultaneous visits to Beijing by the US and Russian presidents in May, and then the highly probable two trilateral meetings between the Chinese, US, and Russian leaders at the APEC and G20 summits, we may conclude that China, the US, and Russia—the three most important global powers—are altering the paradigm of major power interaction with remarkable strategic foresight, and are reshaping the global political landscape. 

For China, deepening relations with Russia is based on strategic cooperation rooted in mutual respect; maintaining stable relations with the United States means adhering to equal dialogue and managing differences. 

China and Russia have shared goals, and China and the US are seeking common ground while reserving their differences. Beijing’s objective remains consistent: to promote the building of a new type of international relations. This is precisely China’s grand ambition. 

China hopes that international competition will reverse its current downturn. In China’s philosophical view, relations between major powers are never a black-and-white confrontation, but rather can be strengthened through communication; misunderstandings may be resolved, and win-win outcomes achieved through cooperation. 

Over the past four decades, unlike any other major economy in the world, China has never participated in, initiated, or been involved in any military conflict. For China, both high-quality domestic development and deep participation in global governance require a stable, cooperative international environment. 

Currently, a strategically stable relationship between China and the US is being built, while the strategically stable relationship between China and Russia is unbreakable. On this basis, if the three major powers continue to interact positively, it will certainly be the greatest guarantee for world peace and development.