The global economic order is undergoing a period of profound transformation. The sovereign credit crisis in the United States is becoming increasingly visible, triggering significant volatility across international financial markets. The Trump administration’s aggressive use of “reciprocal tariffs” and strict fiscal austerity has seriously undermined market confidence. The U.S. Treasury system now exhibits clear characteristics of a Ponzi scheme, with repeated episodes of “triple meltdown” in equities, bonds, and the dollar. As a result, the dominance of the U.S. dollar faces historic challenges. In this context, a wave of global de-dollarization is accelerating. Gold, the renminbi, and emerging market currencies are rapidly gaining ground, and the contours of a multipolar monetary order are beginning to take shape. As the world’s second-largest economy, China must respond to the growing risks posed by the U.S. debt trap, reinforce its financial defenses, and actively contribute to international efforts to reform global financial governance. These issues form the core of this forum’s discussions.
This roundtable, taking the release of the report U.S. Sovereign Credit and Debt Crisis: A Ponzi Scheme on the Brink of Collapse? as its starting point, will focus on the root causes of the U.S. debt crisis, the structural fragility of the dollar system, and China’s strategic response. The event aims to provide both intellectual insight and practical pathways for the reconstruction of the global financial order—contributing to the creation of a fairer and more stable international monetary system.
Host:
Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University of China (RDCY)
Date:
Monday, April 28, 2025,14:30–16:30
Venue:
Beijing, China
Agenda
Opening Remarks/ 14:30-14:40
Zheng Xinye, Vice President, Renmin University of China
Report Launch / 14:40-14:50
U.S. Sovereign Credit and Debt Crisis: A Ponzi Scheme on the Brink of Collapse?
Report Issuer
Wang Wen, Dean of RDCY; Dean, School of Global Leadership, Renmin University of China
Expert Panel Discussion/ 14:50-16:30
Speakers
E Zhihuan, Chief Economist, Bank of China (Hong Kong)
Li Lingzhi, Vice President, Zhonghongwang (China Macro Net)
Luo Zhiheng, Chief Economist, Yuekai Securities
John Ross, Former Director of Economic and Business Policy for the Mayor of London; Senior Fellow of RDCY
Wang Jinbin, Professor, School of Economics, Renmin University of China
Liu Ying, Research Fellow of RDCY
Moderator
Cai Tongjuan, Member of the Academic Committee and Director of the Macroeconomic Research Department, RDCY
Key Words: RDCY, US, debt, crisis